Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000222 0.000249 0.000277 0.000309 0.000345 0.000384 0.000430
2025-02-09 0.000187 0.000223 0.000263 0.000313 0.000373 0.000441 0.000527
2025-02-16 0.000160 0.000202 0.000252 0.000316 0.000398 0.000496 0.000626
2025-02-23 0.000139 0.000183 0.000240 0.000316 0.000416 0.000545 0.000722
2025-03-02 0.000120 0.000165 0.000225 0.000310 0.000427 0.000583 0.000807
2025-03-09 0.000106 0.000152 0.000215 0.000308 0.000441 0.000626 0.000903
2025-03-16 0.000095 0.000142 0.000208 0.000308 0.000458 0.000673 0.001006
2025-03-23 0.000087 0.000133 0.000202 0.000310 0.000476 0.000722 0.001117
2025-03-30 0.000078 0.000125 0.000194 0.000308 0.000487 0.000763 0.001219
2025-04-06 0.000072 0.000118 0.000190 0.000309 0.000505 0.000813 0.001339
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000112 0.000185 0.000310 0.000520 0.000861 0.001459
2025-04-20 0.000061 0.000105 0.000178 0.000306 0.000527 0.000895 0.001558
2025-04-27 0.000059 0.000104 0.000181 0.000320 0.000566 0.000988 0.001770
2025-05-04 0.000055 0.000100 0.000179 0.000324 0.000590 0.001058 0.001949
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000096 0.000176 0.000328 0.000612 0.001126 0.002132
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000091 0.000171 0.000327 0.000627 0.001182 0.002296
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000086 0.000164 0.000321 0.000631 0.001218 0.002427
2025-06-01 0.000040 0.000081 0.000159 0.000319 0.000642 0.001269 0.002592
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.000078 0.000156 0.000319 0.000658 0.001329 0.002780
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000075 0.000153 0.000321 0.000675 0.001396 0.002986
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000071 0.000149 0.000319 0.000686 0.001447 0.003167
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000069 0.000146 0.000321 0.000705 0.001518 0.003395
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000066 0.000144 0.000321 0.000721 0.001584 0.003619